NFL · spread_h1 · MoneyLine system
Fast starter (+3 1H), week 10 or later: 1H spread
Fast starter (+3 1H), week 10 or later: 1H spread. Machine rule: {"seasonType": "regular", "derived.h1SeasonMarginAvg": {"min": 3}, "schedule.teamGameNumber": {"min": 4}, "derived.nflWeek": {"min": 10}} Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.
78-61-2 since 2023, ROI after the vig +6.9%.
MoneyLine system — made money in 2024-25 to 2026-27 after the vig but lost in 2023-24. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2026-27
- 78-61-2 (n=139), won 56.1% (95% range 47.8% to 64.1%); break-even 52.6%; ROI after the vig +6.9%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 21-19, -1.1%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 57-42-2, +10.1%
- 2023-24
- 21-19 (n=40), ROI -1.1%
- 2024-25
- 30-22-1 (n=52), ROI +10.2%
- 2025-26
- 27-20-1 (n=47), ROI +10.1%
How this is graded
This is our own system, not one published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.