NFL · spread · Published system
Home favorite before its bye
NFL home favorite with its bye next: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.
27-9 since 2021, ROI after the vig +42.9%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig on a small sample (36 bets). Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 27-9 (n=36), won 75.0% (95% range 58.9% to 86.3%); break-even 52.5%; ROI after the vig +42.9%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 15-6, +36.6%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 12-3, +51.7%
- 2021-22
- 4-3 (n=7), ROI +9.1%
- 2022-23
- 7-1 (n=8), ROI +68.2%
- 2023-24
- 4-2 (n=6), ROI +26.5%
- 2024-25
- 7-2 (n=9), ROI +48.5%
- 2025-26
- 5-1 (n=6), ROI +56.6%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.