NFL · spread_h1 · Published system
Home favorite first half
NFL home favorite: first-half ATS. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.
272-235-6 since 2023, ROI after the vig +2.2%.
Published system — made money 2023–27 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2026-27
- 272-235-6 (n=507), won 53.6% (95% range 49.3% to 58.0%); break-even 52.5%; ROI after the vig +2.2%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 88-69-1, +6.5%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 184-166-5, +0.2%
- 2023-24
- 88-69-1 (n=157), ROI +6.5%
- 2024-25
- 80-72-3 (n=152), ROI +0.1%
- 2025-26
- 78-73-2 (n=151), ROI -1.3%
- 2026-27
- 26-21 (n=47), ROI +5.2%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.