NFL · spread · Published system
Home favorite on a 3+ straight covers
NFL home favorite on a 3+ straight covers: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.
46-35-2 since 2021, ROI after the vig +7.9%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 46-35-2 (n=81), won 56.8% (95% range 45.9% to 67.0%); break-even 52.6%; ROI after the vig +7.9%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 28-20, +10.5%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 18-15-2, +4.1%
- 2021-22
- 12-9 (n=21), ROI +7.9%
- 2022-23
- 10-6 (n=16), ROI +18.6%
- 2023-24
- 6-5 (n=11), ROI +3.7%
- 2024-25
- 8-7-1 (n=15), ROI +2.8%
- 2025-26
- 10-8-1 (n=18), ROI +5.2%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.