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NFL · spread · Published system

Home favorite traveling east

NFL home favorite traveling east: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.

82-63 since 2021, ROI after the vig +8.1%.

Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.

All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
82-63 (n=145), won 56.5% (95% range 48.4% to 64.3%); break-even 52.4%; ROI after the vig +8.1%
Earlier seasons
2021-22 to 2023-24: 44-38, +2.5%
Later seasons
2024-25 to 2025-26: 38-25, +15.5%
2021-22
15-13 (n=28), ROI +2.2%
2022-23
12-15 (n=27), ROI -14.5%
2023-24
17-10 (n=27), ROI +19.8%
2024-25
23-11 (n=34), ROI +29.6%
2025-26
15-14 (n=29), ROI -1.1%

How this is graded

This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.

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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.