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NFL · total · Published system

Late kickoff, total under 40 overs

NFL regular season late kickoff, total under 40: Over. Bet: bet the over.

27-15 since 2021, ROI after the vig +23.0%.

Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig on a small sample (42 bets). Past results, not a guarantee.

All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
27-15 (n=42), won 64.3% (95% range 49.2% to 77.0%); break-even 52.3%; ROI after the vig +23.0%
Earlier seasons
2021-22 to 2023-24: 16-9, +22.5%
Later seasons
2024-25 to 2025-26: 11-6, +23.6%
2021-22
0-1 (n=1), ROI -100.0%
2022-23
7-3 (n=10), ROI +34.3%
2023-24
9-5 (n=14), ROI +22.9%
2024-25
7-3 (n=10), ROI +34.0%
2025-26
4-3 (n=7), ROI +8.8%

How this is graded

This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.

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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.