NFL · total · Published system
Low total, two bad defenses, under
Total 45 or less, both teams allow 26+: Under. Bet: bet the under.
14-6 since 2021, ROI after the vig +33.8%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig on a small sample (20 bets). Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 14-6 (n=20), won 70.0% (95% range 48.1% to 85.5%); break-even 52.3%; ROI after the vig +33.8%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 7-4, +21.6%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 7-2, +48.6%
- 2021-22
- 3-2 (n=5), ROI +14.4%
- 2023-24
- 4-2 (n=6), ROI +27.6%
- 2024-25
- 4-1 (n=5), ROI +53.1%
- 2025-26
- 3-1 (n=4), ROI +43.0%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.