NFL · spread · Published system
Non-division home dog of 7+
NFL regular season, non-division game, home dog of 7+: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.
40-22-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +22.9%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 40-22-1 (n=62), won 64.5% (95% range 52.1% to 75.3%); break-even 52.4%; ROI after the vig +22.9%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 27-14-1, +25.4%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 13-8, +18.0%
- 2021-22
- 14-8 (n=22), ROI +20.8%
- 2022-23
- 8-3 (n=11), ROI +39.4%
- 2023-24
- 5-3-1 (n=8), ROI +19.0%
- 2024-25
- 4-3 (n=7), ROI +8.6%
- 2025-26
- 9-5 (n=14), ROI +22.7%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.