NFL · spread_h1 · Published system
Off a bye, 1H (scripted opening plays)
Team off a bye (regular season). Bet it 1H ATS. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.
41-32 since 2023, ROI after the vig +7.1%.
Published system — made money in 2024-25 to 2025-26 after the vig but lost in 2023-24. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2025-26
- 41-32 (n=73), won 56.2% (95% range 44.8% to 67.0%); break-even 52.2%; ROI after the vig +7.1%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 10-11, -9.4%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 31-21, +13.8%
- 2023-24
- 10-11 (n=21), ROI -9.4%
- 2024-25
- 15-11 (n=26), ROI +10.0%
- 2025-26
- 16-10 (n=26), ROI +17.6%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.