NFL · total · Published system
Pick-em to 3 games unders
NFL game with a spread of 3 or less: Under. Bet: bet the under.
319-237-3 since 2021, ROI after the vig +9.7%.
Published system — made money 2021–27 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2026-27
- 319-237-3 (n=556), won 57.4% (95% range 53.2% to 61.4%); break-even 52.3%; ROI after the vig +9.7%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 193-125-1, +16.0%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 126-112-2, +1.3%
- 2021-22
- 49-36 (n=85), ROI +10.1%
- 2022-23
- 66-42-1 (n=108), ROI +16.8%
- 2023-24
- 78-47 (n=125), ROI +19.2%
- 2024-25
- 56-50 (n=106), ROI +1.1%
- 2025-26
- 47-46-2 (n=93), ROI -3.4%
- 2026-27
- 23-16 (n=39), ROI +12.7%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.