NFL · spread · Published system
Pre-bye teams vs a division foe not pre-bye
Team heading into its bye, facing a division opponent that is not also heading into a bye. Bet: back them on the spread.
19-12-2 since 2021, ROI after the vig +16.7%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig on a small sample (31 bets). Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 19-12-2 (n=31), won 61.3% (95% range 43.8% to 76.3%); break-even 52.4%; ROI after the vig +16.7%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 14-9, +16.0%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 5-3-2, +18.8%
- 2021-22
- 2-6 (n=8), ROI -52.6%
- 2022-23
- 7-1 (n=8), ROI +68.3%
- 2023-24
- 5-2 (n=7), ROI +34.6%
- 2024-25
- 1-2-2 (n=3), ROI -36.2%
- 2025-26
- 4-1 (n=5), ROI +51.8%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.