NFL · total_h1 · Published system
Primetime first-half unders
All primetime games (TNF/SNF/MNF). Bet: bet the 1st half under.
85-76-5 since 2023, ROI after the vig +0.9%.
Published system — made money in 2024-25 to 2025-26 after the vig but lost in 2023-24. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2025-26
- 85-76-5 (n=161), won 52.8% (95% range 45.1% to 60.4%); break-even 52.3%; ROI after the vig +0.9%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 25-26-2, -5.9%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 60-50-3, +4.0%
- 2023-24
- 25-26-2 (n=51), ROI -5.9%
- 2024-25
- 28-28-1 (n=56), ROI -4.3%
- 2025-26
- 32-22-2 (n=54), ROI +12.6%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.