NFL · spread · Published system
Rematch: lost the first meeting, now 20%+ better
Lost the earlier meeting this season but now has a win pct at least .200 better than the opponent. Bet: back them on the spread.
13-10 since 2021, ROI after the vig +7.4%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig on a small sample (23 bets). Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 13-10 (n=23), won 56.5% (95% range 36.8% to 74.4%); break-even 52.6%; ROI after the vig +7.4%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 7-6, +2.5%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 6-4, +13.8%
- 2021-22
- 2-3 (n=5), ROI -23.8%
- 2022-23
- 4-0 (n=4), ROI +90.2%
- 2023-24
- 1-3 (n=4), ROI -52.5%
- 2024-25
- 3-2 (n=5), ROI +15.2%
- 2025-26
- 3-2 (n=5), ROI +12.5%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.