NFL · spread · Published system
Road dog off a 20+ point loss
NFL road dog whose last game was a 20+ point loss: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.
50-41 since 2021, ROI after the vig +5.0%.
Published system — made money 2021–27 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2026-27
- 50-41 (n=91), won 54.9% (95% range 44.7% to 64.8%); break-even 52.3%; ROI after the vig +5.0%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 24-19, +6.5%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 26-22, +3.7%
- 2021-22
- 9-5 (n=14), ROI +22.7%
- 2022-23
- 10-3 (n=13), ROI +46.1%
- 2023-24
- 5-11 (n=16), ROI -39.8%
- 2024-25
- 8-13 (n=21), ROI -26.7%
- 2025-26
- 12-9 (n=21), ROI +9.1%
- 2026-27
- 6-0 (n=6), ROI +90.7%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.