NFL · spread_h1 · Published system
Road favorite off a loss first half
NFL road favorite off a loss: first-half ATS. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.
59-49-2 since 2023, ROI after the vig +4.9%.
Published system — made money 2023–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2025-26
- 59-49-2 (n=108), won 54.6% (95% range 45.2% to 63.7%); break-even 52.1%; ROI after the vig +4.9%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 19-15, +9.3%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 40-34-2, +2.9%
- 2023-24
- 19-15 (n=34), ROI +9.3%
- 2024-25
- 25-14-1 (n=39), ROI +22.4%
- 2025-26
- 15-20-1 (n=35), ROI -18.8%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.