NFL · spread · Published system
Road favorite on a 3+ game losing streak
NFL road favorite on a 3+ game losing streak: team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.
16-13-2 since 2021, ROI after the vig +5.3%.
Published system — made money 2021–27 after the vig on a small sample (29 bets). Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2026-27
- 16-13-2 (n=29), won 55.2% (95% range 37.5% to 71.6%); break-even 52.5%; ROI after the vig +5.3%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 8-6-1, +8.9%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2026-27: 8-7-1, +1.9%
- 2021-22
- 3-2 (n=5), ROI +14.8%
- 2022-23
- 1-2 (n=3), ROI -36.9%
- 2023-24
- 4-2-1 (n=6), ROI +26.9%
- 2024-25
- 5-3-1 (n=8), ROI +17.9%
- 2025-26
- 1-4 (n=5), ROI -60.6%
- 2026-27
- 2-0 (n=2), ROI +93.9%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2026-27 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.