NFL · spread · Published system
Road favorite on Sunday after a Monday game
NFL road favorite playing Sunday on 5 or fewer days rest (played the Monday before): team ATS. Bet: back them on the spread.
21-14-1 since 2021, ROI after the vig +14.5%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig on a small sample (35 bets). Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 21-14-1 (n=35), won 60.0% (95% range 43.6% to 74.5%); break-even 52.5%; ROI after the vig +14.5%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 12-6-1, +27.2%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 9-8, +1.0%
- 2021-22
- 3-1 (n=4), ROI +42.5%
- 2022-23
- 5-2 (n=7), ROI +36.5%
- 2023-24
- 4-3-1 (n=7), ROI +9.1%
- 2024-25
- 7-3 (n=10), ROI +33.7%
- 2025-26
- 2-5 (n=7), ROI -45.7%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.