NFL · spread_h1 · Published system
Road favorites 1H
Regular-season road favorite, 1H spread. Bet: back them on the 1st half spread.
168-139-4 since 2023, ROI after the vig +5.5%.
Published system — made money 2023–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2023-24 to 2025-26
- 168-139-4 (n=307), won 54.7% (95% range 49.1% to 60.2%); break-even 52.0%; ROI after the vig +5.5%
- Earlier seasons
- 2023-24: 59-43, +11.4%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 109-96-4, +2.5%
- 2023-24
- 59-43 (n=102), ROI +11.4%
- 2024-25
- 61-41-2 (n=102), ROI +14.6%
- 2025-26
- 48-55-2 (n=103), ROI -9.5%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2023-24 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.