NFL · total · Published system
Week 1 unders
Week 1 games. Bet: bet the under.
51-29 since 2021, ROI after the vig +21.9%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 51-29 (n=80), won 63.7% (95% range 52.8% to 73.4%); break-even 52.3%; ROI after the vig +21.9%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 32-16, +27.4%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 19-13, +13.7%
- 2021-22
- 9-7 (n=16), ROI +7.4%
- 2022-23
- 11-5 (n=16), ROI +31.5%
- 2023-24
- 12-4 (n=16), ROI +43.3%
- 2024-25
- 7-9 (n=16), ROI -16.2%
- 2025-26
- 12-4 (n=16), ROI +43.5%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.