NFL · total · Published system
Weeks 1-4, total 44-47.5 unders
NFL regular season weeks 1-4, total 44-47.5: Under. Bet: bet the under.
64-51 since 2021, ROI after the vig +6.4%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 64-51 (n=115), won 55.6% (95% range 46.5% to 64.4%); break-even 52.3%; ROI after the vig +6.4%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 37-28, +8.9%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 27-23, +3.2%
- 2021-22
- 13-8 (n=21), ROI +18.4%
- 2022-23
- 11-9 (n=20), ROI +5.2%
- 2023-24
- 13-11 (n=24), ROI +3.5%
- 2024-25
- 8-12 (n=20), ROI -23.2%
- 2025-26
- 19-11 (n=30), ROI +20.9%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.