NHL · spread · Published system
Conference home teams after close favored loss
Game 9-61; conference opponent; opponent won last by 1-7; team lost last by 3-8 as a favorite. Bet: back them on the spread.
44-43 since 2021, ROI after the vig +9.0%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 44-43 (n=87), won 50.6% (95% range 40.3% to 60.8%); break-even 46.7%; ROI after the vig +9.0%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 22-22, +6.7%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 22-21, +11.2%
- 2021-22
- 8-7 (n=15), ROI +18.3%
- 2022-23
- 5-8 (n=13), ROI -7.9%
- 2023-24
- 9-7 (n=16), ROI +7.9%
- 2024-25
- 14-8 (n=22), ROI +34.3%
- 2025-26
- 8-13 (n=21), ROI -12.9%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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