NHL · moneyline · Published system
Fade road underdogs of +150 or longer on a 4+ game win streak
Road team, underdogs of +150 or longer, won 4+ straight; bet the opponent. Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.
32-14 since 2021, ROI after the vig +2.2%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig on a small sample (46 bets). Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 32-14 (n=46), won 69.6% (95% range 55.2% to 80.9%); break-even 68.5%; ROI after the vig +2.2%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 20-9, +1.2%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 12-5, +3.9%
- 2021-22
- 11-1 (n=12), ROI +32.7%
- 2022-23
- 7-6 (n=13), ROI -19.2%
- 2023-24
- 2-2 (n=4), ROI -27.0%
- 2024-25
- 10-1 (n=11), ROI +35.4%
- 2025-26
- 2-4 (n=6), ROI -53.8%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.