NHL · moneyline · Published system
Home favorites of -120 to -149 off a win
Home team priced as favorites of -120 to -149; won/lost its previous game (off a win). Bet: back them on the moneyline.
344-249 since 2021, ROI after the vig +1.1%.
Published system — made money in 2024-25 to 2025-26 after the vig but lost in 2021-22 to 2023-24. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 344-249 (n=593), won 58.0% (95% range 54.0% to 61.9%); break-even 57.3%; ROI after the vig +1.1%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 182-136, -0.1%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 162-113, +2.4%
- 2021-22
- 63-45 (n=108), ROI +1.4%
- 2022-23
- 53-45 (n=98), ROI -4.9%
- 2023-24
- 66-46 (n=112), ROI +2.8%
- 2024-25
- 74-35 (n=109), ROI +18.1%
- 2025-26
- 88-78 (n=166), ROI -7.8%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.