BettingLab

NHL · moneyline · Published system

Home favorites with 2+ more rest days

Home favorite with 2+ more days off than the opponent. Bet: back them on the moneyline.

292-146 since 2021, ROI after the vig +4.7%.

Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.

All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
292-146 (n=438), won 66.7% (95% range 62.1% to 70.9%); break-even 63.8%; ROI after the vig +4.7%
Earlier seasons
2021-22 to 2023-24: 189-93, +4.3%
Later seasons
2024-25 to 2025-26: 103-53, +5.3%
2021-22
69-30 (n=99), ROI +7.0%
2022-23
67-34 (n=101), ROI +3.0%
2023-24
53-29 (n=82), ROI +2.8%
2024-25
61-24 (n=85), ROI +11.9%
2025-26
42-29 (n=71), ROI -2.6%

How this is graded

This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.

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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.