NHL · moneyline · Published system
Playoff Game 1 home teams
Home team in Game 1 of a playoff series. Bet: back them on the moneyline.
39-24 since 2021, ROI after the vig +2.2%.
Published system — made money in 2024-25 to 2025-26 after the vig but lost in 2021-22 to 2023-24. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 39-24 (n=63), won 61.9% (95% range 49.6% to 72.9%); break-even 60.6%; ROI after the vig +2.2%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 22-16, -1.3%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 17-8, +7.7%
- 2021-22
- 8-4 (n=12), ROI +13.5%
- 2022-23
- 5-8 (n=13), ROI -34.9%
- 2023-24
- 9-4 (n=13), ROI +18.6%
- 2024-25
- 9-5 (n=14), ROI +4.7%
- 2025-26
- 8-3 (n=11), ROI +11.5%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.