NHL · moneyline · Published system
Rested home favorites vs a team on a back-to-back
Home favorite with 1+ day off; opponent on the 2nd night of a back-to-back. Bet: back them on the moneyline.
497-239 since 2021, ROI after the vig +3.8%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 497-239 (n=736), won 67.5% (95% range 64.1% to 70.8%); break-even 65.0%; ROI after the vig +3.8%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 294-137, +4.4%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 203-102, +2.9%
- 2021-22
- 111-45 (n=156), ROI +9.0%
- 2022-23
- 99-51 (n=150), ROI -0.9%
- 2023-24
- 84-41 (n=125), ROI +5.1%
- 2024-25
- 106-46 (n=152), ROI +5.0%
- 2025-26
- 97-56 (n=153), ROI +0.7%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.