NHL · moneyline · Published system
Rested road underdogs vs a team on a back-to-back
Road underdog with 1+ day off; opponent on the 2nd night of a back-to-back. Bet: back them on the moneyline.
71-98 since 2021, ROI after the vig +3.8%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 71-98 (n=169), won 42.0% (95% range 34.8% to 49.5%); break-even 41.8%; ROI after the vig +3.8%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 41-59, +3.6%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 30-39, +4.1%
- 2021-22
- 14-22 (n=36), ROI -5.3%
- 2022-23
- 17-17 (n=34), ROI +33.7%
- 2023-24
- 10-20 (n=30), ROI -19.7%
- 2024-25
- 12-17 (n=29), ROI +5.3%
- 2025-26
- 18-22 (n=40), ROI +3.3%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.