NHL · spread · Published system
Revenge after 4-goal loss
Road team lost the previous meeting with this opponent by 4+. Bet: back them on the spread.
309-230 since 2021, ROI after the vig +3.5%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 309-230 (n=539), won 57.3% (95% range 53.1% to 61.4%); break-even 55.6%; ROI after the vig +3.5%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 169-134, +3.0%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 140-96, +4.0%
- 2021-22
- 47-30 (n=77), ROI +17.2%
- 2022-23
- 65-52 (n=117), ROI +1.2%
- 2023-24
- 57-52 (n=109), ROI -5.0%
- 2024-25
- 75-44 (n=119), ROI +11.3%
- 2025-26
- 65-52 (n=117), ROI -3.5%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.