NHL · spread · Published system
Road favorites after a 4+ goal loss, puck line
Road favorite that lost its previous game by 4+; -1.5. Bet: back them on the spread.
61-81 since 2021, ROI after the vig +5.6%.
Published system — made money 2021–26 after the vig. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 61-81 (n=142), won 43.0% (95% range 35.1% to 51.2%); break-even 41.1%; ROI after the vig +5.6%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 37-52, +0.4%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 24-29, +14.3%
- 2021-22
- 16-13 (n=29), ROI +33.2%
- 2022-23
- 9-14 (n=23), ROI -5.3%
- 2023-24
- 12-25 (n=37), ROI -21.7%
- 2024-25
- 14-17 (n=31), ROI +11.1%
- 2025-26
- 10-12 (n=22), ROI +18.8%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.