NHL · moneyline · Published system
Road favorites playing 4 games in 6 nights, fade
Road favorite in its 4th game in 6 nights; bet the opponent. Bet: bet their opponent on the moneyline.
208-255 since 2021, ROI after the vig +2.4%.
Published system — made money in 2024-25 to 2025-26 after the vig but lost in 2021-22 to 2023-24. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 208-255 (n=463), won 44.9% (95% range 40.5% to 49.5%); break-even 43.8%; ROI after the vig +2.4%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 115-170, -5.3%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 93-85, +14.7%
- 2021-22
- 46-55 (n=101), ROI +3.3%
- 2022-23
- 32-62 (n=94), ROI -16.8%
- 2023-24
- 37-53 (n=90), ROI -2.8%
- 2024-25
- 37-40 (n=77), ROI +6.7%
- 2025-26
- 56-45 (n=101), ROI +20.8%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.