NHL · moneyline · Published system
Road underdogs of +131 to +170 off a loss
Road team priced as underdogs of +131 to +170; won/lost its previous game (off a loss). Bet: back them on the moneyline.
265-370 since 2021, ROI after the vig +3.1%.
Published system — made money in 2024-25 to 2025-26 after the vig but lost in 2021-22 to 2023-24. Past results, not a guarantee.
- All bets, 2021-22 to 2025-26
- 265-370 (n=635), won 41.7% (95% range 38.0% to 45.6%); break-even 40.3%; ROI after the vig +3.1%
- Earlier seasons
- 2021-22 to 2023-24: 143-219, -2.3%
- Later seasons
- 2024-25 to 2025-26: 122-151, +10.3%
- 2021-22
- 43-81 (n=124), ROI -14.2%
- 2022-23
- 39-70 (n=109), ROI -12.4%
- 2023-24
- 61-68 (n=129), ROI +17.6%
- 2024-25
- 55-73 (n=128), ROI +6.8%
- 2025-26
- 67-78 (n=145), ROI +13.4%
How this is graded
This system was published elsewhere; we graded its rule on every game it fit in 2021-22 to 2025-26 at our closing consensus prices. ROI is profit per unit staked after the vig. We list a system only if it made money over the whole sample and in both the earlier and later seasons, on 50 or more decided bets. Rates exclude pushes; n counts decided bets.
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For information only. Past results don't predict future ones. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Trend data from the MoneyLine API.